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Message   TCOB1 Security Posts    All   CRYPTO-GRAM, December 15, 2025 Part2   December 15, 2025
 12:31 PM *  

Identity Politics

For AI to be truly transformative of politics, it must change the way campaigns
work. And we are starting to see that in the US.

The earliest uses of AI in American political campaigns are, to be polite,
uninspiring. Candidates viewed them as just another tool to optimize an endless
stream of email and text message appeals, to ramp up political vitriol, to
harvest data on voters and donors, or merely as a stunt.

Of course, we have seen the rampant production and spread of AI-powered
deepfakes and misinformation. This is already impacting the key 2026 Senate
races, which are likely to attract hundreds of millions of dollars in financing.
Roy Cooper, Democratic candidate for US Senate from North Carolina, and Abdul
El-Sayed, Democratic candidate for Senate from Michigan, were both targeted by
viral deepfake attacks in recent months. This may reflect a growing trend in
Donald Trump's Republican party in the use of AI-generated imagery to build up
GOP candidates and assail the opposition.

And yet, in the global elections of 2024, AI was used more memetically than
deceptively. So far, conservative and far right parties seem to have adopted
this most aggressively. The ongoing rise of Germany's far-right populist AfD
party has been credited to its use of AI to generate nostalgic and evocative
(and, to many, offensive) campaign images, videos, and music and, seemingly as a
result, they have dominated TikTok. Because most social platforms' algorithms
are tuned to reward media that generates an emotional response, this counts as a
double use of AI: to generate content and to manipulate its distribution.

AI can also be used to generate politically useful, though artificial,
identities. These identities can fulfill different roles than humans in
campaigning and governance because they have differentiated traits. They can't
be imprisoned for speaking out against the state, can be positioned
(legitimately or not) as unsusceptible to bribery, and can be forced to show up
when humans will not.

In Venezuela, journalists have turned to AI avatars -- artificial newsreaders --
to report anonymously on issues that would otherwise elicit government
retaliation. Albania recently "appointed" an AI to a ministerial post
responsible for procurement, claiming that it would be less vulnerable to
bribery than a human. In Virginia, both in 2024 and again this year, candidates
have used AI avatars as artificial stand-ins for opponents that refused to
debate them.

And yet, none of these examples, whether positive or negative, pursue the
promise of the Obama campaign: to make voter engagement a "two-way conversation"
on a massive scale.

The closest so far to fulfilling that vision anywhere in the world may be
Japan's new political party, Team Mirai. It started in 2024, when an independent
Tokyo gubernatorial candidate, Anno Takahiro, used an AI avatar on YouTube to
respond to 8,600 constituent questions over a seventeen-day continuous
livestream. He collated hundreds of comments on his campaign manifesto into a
revised policy platform. While he didn't win his race, he shot up to a fifth
place finish among a record 56 candidates.

Anno was RECENTLY elected to the upper house of the federal legislature as the
founder of a new party with a 100 day plan to bring his vision of a "public
listening AI" to the whole country. In the early stages of that plan, they've
invested their share of Japan's 32 billion yen in party grants -- public
subsidies for political parties -- to hire engineers building digital civic
infrastructure for Japan. They've already created platforms to provide
transparency for party expenditures, and to use AI to make legislation in the
Diet easy, and are meeting with engineers from US-based Jigsaw Labs (a Google
company) to learn from international examples of how AI can be used to power
participatory democracy.

Team Mirai has yet to prove that it can get a second member elected to the
Japanese Diet, let alone to win substantial power, but they're innovating and
demonstrating new ways of using AI to give people a way to participate in
politics that we believe is likely to spread.

Organizing with AI

AI could be used in the US in similar ways. Following American federalism's
longstanding model of "laboratories of democracy," we expect the most aggressive
campaign innovation to happen at the state and local level.

D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser is partnering with MIT and Stanford labs to use the
AI-based tool deliberation.io to capture wide scale public feedback in city
policymaking about AI. Her administration said that using AI in this process
allows "the District to better solicit public input to ensure a broad range of
perspectives, identify common ground, and cultivate solutions that align with
the public interest."

It remains to be seen how central this will become to Bowser's expected
re-election campaign in 2026, but the technology has legitimate potential to be
a prominent part of a broader program to rebuild trust in government. This is a
trail blazed by Taiwan a decade ago. The vTaiwan initiative showed how digital
tools like Pol.is, which uses machine learning to make sense of real time
constituent feedback, can scale participation in democratic processes and
radically improve trust in government. Similar AI listening processes have been
used in Kentucky, France, and Germany.

Even if campaigns like Bowser's don't adopt this kind of AI-facilitated
listening and dialog, expect it to be an increasingly prominent part of American
public debate. Through a partnership with Jigsaw, Scott Rasmussen's Napolitan
Institute will use AI to elicit and synthesize the views of at least five
Americans from every Congressional district in a project called "We the People."
Timed to coincide with the country's 250th anniversary in 2026, expect the
results to be promoted during the heat of the midterm campaign and to stoke
interest in this kind of AI-assisted political sensemaking.

In the year where we celebrate the American republic's semiquincentennial and
continue a decade-long debate about whether or not Donald Trump and the
Republican party remade in his image is fighting for the interests of the
working class, representation will be on the ballot in 2026. Midterm election
candidates will look for any way they can get an edge. For all the risks it
poses to democracy, AI presents a real opportunity, too, for politicians to
engage voters en masse while factoring their input into their platform and
message. Technology isn't going to turn an uninspiring candidate into Barack
Obama, but it gives any aspirant to office the capability to try to realize the
promise that swept him into office.

This essay was written with Nathan E. Sanders, and originally appeared in The
Fulcrum.

** *** ***** ******* *********** *************

Legal Restrictions on Vulnerability Disclosure

[2025.11.19] Kendra Albert gave an excellent talk at USENIX Security this year,
pointing out that the legal agreements surrounding vulnerability disclosure
muzzle researchers while allowing companies to not fix the vulnerabilities --
exactly the opposite of what the re--- FMail-lnx 2.3.1.0
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