ABNT20 KNHC 111142
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 11 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Tropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity is currently limited in association 
with an area of low pressure located about 500 miles southwest of 
the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to 
become more conducive for development during the next couple of 
days, and a tropical depression will likely form during the latter 
half of this week while the system moves westward to 
west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

East of the Windward Islands:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical 
wave are located about 600 miles east of the Windward Islands. The 
system is expected to encounter a large area of environmental dry 
air as it approaches the Windward Islands, and development is not 
expected. Locally heavy rains and gusty winds will be possible in 
the Lesser Antilles during the next couple of days as the 
disturbance moves through the area. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles northeast of 
Bermuda is producing showers and thunderstorms. Some development of 
this system is possible during the next day or so while it moves 
eastward at around 20 mph across the central subtropical Atlantic. 
The system is forecast to reach cooler waters later this week, 
ending its chances of formation by Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Pasch

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