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Message   Mike Powell    All   OUTLOOK: Nws National Hurricane Center Miami Fl   August 12, 2026
 8:01 AM *  

ABNT20 KNHC 121151
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
An area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave 
is located about 900 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde 
Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for 
development during the next couple of days, and a tropical 
depression will likely form while the system moves westward to 
west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL93):
An area of low pressure is located about 1050 miles east-northeast 
of Bermuda. The circulation is elongated, and the associated 
showers and thunderstorms are displaced to the east. The system is 
producing an area of gale force winds to its south and east. Some 
development of this system is still possible through tonight, and a 
short-lived tropical storm could form while it moves eastward to 
east-northeastward at around 20 mph across the central subtropical 
Atlantic. The system is forecast to reach cooler waters by Thursday, 
ending its chances of formation. Addition information on this system 
is found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave just offshore of the coast of west Africa is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for some 
development of this system during the next several days while it 
moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern and central 
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Adams/Katz/Pasch

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