ABNT20 KNHC 231132
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Aug 23 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west 
of the coast of Portugal is producing limited shower activity. This 
system has only a slight chance of acquiring subtropical 
characteristics later today while it moves eastward to east- 
northeastward at 10 to 15 mph toward Portugal and northwestern 
Spain. By tonight, the low will encounter unfavorable environmental 
conditions, and further development is not expected. For more 
information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95):
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southeast 
of Bermuda continues to produce disorganized shower and 
thunderstorm activity.  Some development of this system is possible 
during the next few days as it drifts northwestward today and then 
accelerates northward early this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on 
Monday, and an area of low pressure could form in association with 
the wave early this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to 
be marginally conducive for development, and a tropical depression 
could form by the middle to latter portions of the week while the 
system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern 
and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO 
header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at 
https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/fq/fqnt50...

$$
Forecaster Blake
&&
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