759 
FXUS64 KMRX 051048
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
648 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 645 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026

- The dry weather pattern will persist through Saturday with low 
rain chances returning Sunday afternoon. Temperatures and dew points 
will be increasing this weekend.

- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected
  every day next week mainly in the afternoon/evening hours.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 230 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026

In the upper levels, a ridge is centered over the Southeast U.S. At 
the surface, high pressure is centered over the Southeast and Mid-
Atlantic. Dry weather will continue through at least Saturday. 
Temperatures and dew points will be on the rise Saturday and Sunday 
as southwesterly flow continues. By Sunday, a system moving through 
the Northeast brings a cold front into the Ohio Valley but it fails 
to make it this far south. An upper level low gets somewhat stuck 
near KS/MO as a blocking ridge extends from the Southeast U.S. to 
Ontario, Canada. The remnants of this upper low will make it into 
the Ohio Valley Tues/Wed. 

Rain chances start to increase Sunday afternoon mainly in the 
Cumberland Plateau and Southwest Virginia. Then isolated to 
scattered showers and storms are likely every day next week. This 
activity will be hit and miss and mainly during the peak heating 
hours of the afternoon and evening. It looks like Tuesday and 
Wednesday may have the best coverage.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 645 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026

Mid to high level clouds will continue for the rest of the day.
Southerly winds will increase at CHA with a more WSW direction at
TYS and TRI. Winds will be generally less than 10 kts at all 3
sites. Winds will become calm again tonight with minimal cloud
cover. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             85  63  87  68 /   0   0   0   0 
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  85  62  87  66 /   0   0   0   0 
Oak Ridge, TN                       83  61  86  65 /   0   0   0   0 
Tri Cities Airport, TN              86  60  86  63 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...McD
AVIATION...BW


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
 * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (618:618/1)