ABNT20 KNHC 131143
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Southwestern Gulf:
A broad area of low pressure just offshore of eastern Mexico
continues to produce some shower and thunderstorm activity.  While
this system has become better organized since yesterday, marginal
environmental conditions will probably prevent significant
development before the low moves inland over eastern Mexico by
Sunday. The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf on
Tuesday or Wednesday while interacting with a frontal boundary, but
conditions there are also expected to be only marginally conducive
for development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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