Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
302 AM EDT Thu Sep 10 2026

Valid 12Z Thu Sep 10 2026 - 12Z Sat Sep 12 2026

...Thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall likely from the Central Plains
to the Ohio Valley, and across the Southeast...

...Severe weather possible from the Upper Midwest to Central Plains on
Friday...

...Major to Extreme HeatRisk continues across the Southern Plains to the
lower Mississippi Valley late this week...

A cold front will be the focus for widespread showers and thunderstorms
from the Ohio Valley into the Central Plains on Thursday. Locally heavy
rainfall and strong to locally severe weather is possible. WPC highlights
areas from western West Virginia into eastern Kentucky within a slight
risk of excessive rainfall, where heavy rainfall fell overnight and areas
are particularly more susceptible. The front sinks into the Southeast and
stalls on Friday, with widespread showers and storms expected across the
Southeast to Tennessee Valley and parts of the southern Mid-Atlantic with
locally heavy rainfall possible.

A cold front dropping into the northern tier of the U.S. will drive
showers and thunderstorms across the Northern-Central Plains and the Upper
Midwest on Friday. The greatest threat with this system will be severe
weather and the Storm Prediction Center has a slight risk for severe
thunderstorms all along this boundary as it moves through. Locally heavy
rainfall is also possible, especially across portions of northern
Minnesota and the U.P. of Michigan.

Upper level ridging parked over the South will continue to bring
widespread heat threats to especially the Southern Plains to parts of the
lower Mississippi Valley through the period. Widespread major to extreme
HeatRisk is forecast especially across parts of Texas where a dangerous
heat wave has been relentless. The above cold front into the Southeast on
Friday may bring some relief to northern areas, but Texas heat will
continue into this weekend. Monsoonal moisture around the west side of
this heat dome will bring a shower and storm threat to the Southwest
through the period as well.


Santorelli


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx...

Extreme Heat Key Messages available at:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx...

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