154 
FXUS64 KMRX 082323
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
623 PM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 622 PM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

- Warmer temperatures are expected this week with highs mainly in 
the 50s and 60s in the Tennessee Valley Monday through Friday.

-Precipitation chances return Tuesday night/Wednesday, then again
 late in the week with rain being the predominant precipitation
 type.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1230 PM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

Still cold out there with cloudy skies and the large trough still 
slowly making it's way off the east coast of the United States. If 
we can make it through today we'll turn the corner to warmer 
weather. Temperatures start a warming trend tomorrow with the 
warmest day being Tuesday with most of the eastern Tennessee Valley 
reaching into the 60's and Chattanooga possibly crossing the 70 
degree mark. Wednesday will see the incoming of a weak front from 
the north which will back off temperatures to more seasonal normals 
for the second half of the week, bringing with it a quick shot of 
rain, as temperatures remain well above freezing.

Moderate temperatures expected for the second half of the week and 
into the weekend when our next system moves through. We'll see 
several days of precipitation chances for the end of the week and 
into the weekend as shortwaves precede an incoming trough/low 
expected to move out of the southern plains. Temperatures during 
this time frame still look to remain above freezing for almost all 
of the valley, outside of the mountains where overnight lows drop 
below freezing. With a few days of precipitation chances we could 
see an inch or two of rainfall over a 3 day time span. Which should 
be long enough to limit the flooding risk... But will be worth 
keeping an eye on for some periods of increased rainfall rates.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 622 PM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

Overall, quiet aviation conditions are expected to continue with
light and variable winds and high clouds overnight. On Monday,
winds will shift to be more from a southerly to southwesterly
direction, especially at CHA and TYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             34  65  43  71 /   0   0   0   0 
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  30  59  42  68 /   0   0   0  10 
Oak Ridge, TN                       29  58  42  67 /   0   0   0  10 
Tri Cities Airport, TN              23  50  34  61 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...BW


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