ABNT20 KNHC 171150
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 17 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL98):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area 
located about 350 miles east of Bermuda have changed little in 
organization during the past several hours.  Environmental 
conditions could support gradual development of the system during 
the next day or two, and a tropical depression could form during 
that time. The system is forecast to move slowly today, and then 
possibly turn southward on Friday over the subtropical Atlantic. By 
Sunday, environmental conditions are forecast to become less 
favorable for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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