996 
FXUS64 KMRX 030517
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
117 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 111 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

- A dry weather pattern will set up across the region for the 
  rest of the week. Slightly below normal temperatures through 
  tomorrow with drier air, then a return to near normal 
  temperatures into the weekend.

- Precipitation doesn't return to the area until around Sunday,
  with unsettled weather sticking around through the end of the
  forecast period.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 111 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

From today until the middle of the weekend, will be a welcomed 
change to the weather pattern, especially for areas that have seen
copious amounts of rain lately. Ridging aloft will shift over 
from the west, while surface high pressure near the Great Lakes 
drifts to the Mid-Atlantic, with time. The blocking high will keep
the forecast area dry for multiple days. Slightly below normal 
temperatures can be expected through tomorrow, with a return to 
near normal temperatures Friday onward. Humidity also won't be as 
bad as what it has been at the start of the forecast period. A 
slow return to 60s and some 70s dew points can be expected this 
weekend when return flow tries to develop out ahead of increasing 
chances for precipitation Sunday until the end of the forecast 
period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 111 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

Only forecast concern for the 06z TAF package is whether fog will
affect any terminals through the morning hours. Otherwise, light
winds and VFR categories with FEW-SCT250 at best for cloud cover
are expected through the period at all sites. Going back to the
fog potential, KTRI seems like the only site it might affect. 
Satellite imagery shows some present in the river valleys of far 
southwest VA and northeast TN. Pattern wise, I think there's 
potential for it to affect KTRI so I've added some TEMPO 1/2SM 
there.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             82  59  84  61 /   0   0   0   0 
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  81  57  84  61 /   0   0   0   0 
Oak Ridge, TN                       80  57  83  59 /   0   0   0   0 
Tri Cities Airport, TN              80  53  84  57 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KS
AVIATION...CD


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