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Message   Sean Dennis    All   Area Forecast Discussion For Tri Cities, TN/VA   June 3, 2026
 7:00 PM *  

788 
FXUS64 KMRX 031747
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
147 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 146 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

- A dry weather pattern will set up across the region for the rest 
of the week. Low dew points will keep weather generally pleasant.

- Rain chances return as we head into next week, but certainty is
  lower due to model discrepancies.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 146 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

Currently a sunny afternoon across the region with temperatures 
remaining a bit below seasonal normals and dew points in the 40/50's 
keeping any mugginess at bay. Quiet weather pattern remains in place 
through the back half of the week and into the weekend as high 
pressure sits over the region and the higher dew points stay off 
west of the Mississippi River. Moderate temperatures and lower dew 
points will remain in place as well through much of the weekend 
allowing overnight lows to drop into the 50/60's most mornings.

Late in the weekend the pattern tries to get broken up by a low 
trying to strengthen over Texas and move eastward. Some 
discrepancies on how far east this system can go before it begins to 
move off further to the north as the ridge looks to try and remain 
in place. The low will try and bring in a surface front which could 
end up draped across the Tennessee or Ohio Valley next week. 
Wherever this front ends up will act as a focus for enhanced shower 
and thunderstorm activity with the warmer temperatures expected 
along with it. But it gets a bit uncertain with regards to the 
location of the attached low and some other weak systems looking to 
try and move under the ridge centered over the middle portion of the 
United States. Will keep rain chances present through the first half 
of next week, but once we get into the weekend the picture should 
hopefully become clearer and rain chances can be trimmed down to the 
more likely periods.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 146 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

VFR conditions expected for the next 24 hours with light winds and
a few passing high clouds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             59  84  61  86 /   0   0   0   0 
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  57  84  61  87 /   0   0   0   0 
Oak Ridge, TN                       57  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0 
Tri Cities Airport, TN              53  84  57  87 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...99


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