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Sean Dennis | All | Area Forecast Discussion For Tri Cities, TN/VA |
June 3, 2026 7:00 PM * |
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788 FXUS64 KMRX 031747 AFDMRX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Morristown TN 147 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 146 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026 - A dry weather pattern will set up across the region for the rest of the week. Low dew points will keep weather generally pleasant. - Rain chances return as we head into next week, but certainty is lower due to model discrepancies. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 146 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026 Currently a sunny afternoon across the region with temperatures remaining a bit below seasonal normals and dew points in the 40/50's keeping any mugginess at bay. Quiet weather pattern remains in place through the back half of the week and into the weekend as high pressure sits over the region and the higher dew points stay off west of the Mississippi River. Moderate temperatures and lower dew points will remain in place as well through much of the weekend allowing overnight lows to drop into the 50/60's most mornings. Late in the weekend the pattern tries to get broken up by a low trying to strengthen over Texas and move eastward. Some discrepancies on how far east this system can go before it begins to move off further to the north as the ridge looks to try and remain in place. The low will try and bring in a surface front which could end up draped across the Tennessee or Ohio Valley next week. Wherever this front ends up will act as a focus for enhanced shower and thunderstorm activity with the warmer temperatures expected along with it. But it gets a bit uncertain with regards to the location of the attached low and some other weak systems looking to try and move under the ridge centered over the middle portion of the United States. Will keep rain chances present through the first half of next week, but once we get into the weekend the picture should hopefully become clearer and rain chances can be trimmed down to the more likely periods. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 146 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026 VFR conditions expected for the next 24 hours with light winds and a few passing high clouds. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Chattanooga Airport, TN 59 84 61 86 / 0 0 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 57 84 61 87 / 0 0 0 0 Oak Ridge, TN 57 83 59 85 / 0 0 0 0 Tri Cities Airport, TN 53 84 57 87 / 0 0 0 0 && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$ DISCUSSION...99 AVIATION...99 --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64) * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (618:618/1) |
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