576 
FXUS64 KMRX 041056
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
656 AM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 652 AM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026

- The dry weather pattern will persist for the rest of the week. 
  Low dew points and a touch below normal temperatures to start, 
  then gradually warming temperatures and increasing humidity.

- Rain chances return as we head into next week, but certainty is
  lower due to model discrepancies.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 121 AM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026

The center of the upper level ridge is nearly vertically stacked 
above the surface high pressure, at this time. The upper level 
ridge will slowly meander to the southeast, while the surface high
will slowly edge off of the Carolina coasts by this weekend. As a
result of the blocking high, our area will be in a dry pattern 
with gradually increasing temperatures and dew points. 

Early next week, a southwest upper level low will try to phase in 
with the mean flow draped across the northern tier of the US. Odds 
are good that precipitation chances return to the area as early as 
Sunday, but the weak flow paired with a possible west to east 
frontal boundary over us or to the north, makes any details at this 
time fairly uncertain. Return flow will bring increased atmospheric 
moisture, decreasing the stability next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 652 AM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026

VFR conditions with mostly clear skies and light winds will
prevail through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             85  60  85  63 /   0   0   0   0 
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  84  61  86  63 /   0   0   0   0 
Oak Ridge, TN                       84  59  84  61 /   0   0   0   0 
Tri Cities Airport, TN              83  57  86  60 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KS
AVIATION...CD


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