937 
FXUS64 KMRX 091149
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
649 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 640 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026

- Warmer temperatures are expected this week with highs mainly in 
  the 50s and 60s in the Tennessee Valley through Thursday.

- Precipitation chances return Tuesday night/Wednesday, then 
  again late in the week with rain being the predominant 
  precipitation type.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1232 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026

A ridge is building into the Central and eastern U.S. today. At the 
surface, high pressure is over the East Coast bringing southerly low 
level flow to the region. Temperatures will be much warmer this week 
with highs mainly in the 50s but Tuesday will be the warmest day 
with highs in the 60s in the northern and central TN Valley and 
highs in the lower 70s in the southern Valley. Dry weather will be 
in place until the next system approaches Tuesday night and 
Wednesday as a low near the Great Lakes brings a cold front through 
the region. All rain is expected with this system and instability 
will be too low for thunder.

Drying out for Wednesday afternoon and Thursday. Near normal temps 
are expected through the weekend. Rain chances return for the 
weekend as a low slowly moves through the Southeast. Precip type 
will be all rain except for the possibility of some flakes in the 
higher elevations.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 640 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026

VFR with dry conditions through Tuesday morning. Varying mid to 
high clouds. Ridging building in, along with SFC high pressure 
shifting east, will flip the wind direction out of the S to SW 
during the afternoon at CHA and TYS. Lighter winds tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             65  46  73  51 /   0   0   0  50 
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  60  43  68  46 /   0   0  10  60 
Oak Ridge, TN                       59  41  68  44 /   0   0  10  60 
Tri Cities Airport, TN              50  34  61  40 /   0   0   0  60 

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...McD
AVIATION...KS


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