912 
FXUS64 KMRX 271107 AAA
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Morristown TN
607 AM EST Fri Feb 27 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 606 AM EST Fri Feb 27 2026

- Chance of rain across the extreme southern part of the forecast
  area this morning.

- Dry and mild conditions return today, lasting through the 
  weekend.

- Rain chances return again by early next week.

- Well above normal temperatures next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1201 AM EST Fri Feb 27 2026

A chance of rain exists across the southern fringe of the 
forecast area this morning, as a frontal boundary continues moving
away. Any thunderstorm activity should remain well to the south
out of our area. Once past that, dry conditions under developing 
high pressure will move in for the weekend. Saturday looks 
warmest out of the weekend, with valley temperatures ranging from
the mid 60s to lower 70s. Increasing cloud cover Sunday will drop
temperatures some, especially across the north. A weak system 
moves in across the north, providing the cloudier conditions.

Rain chances return during the week next week, with repeated 
shortwave activity moving west to east across the middle of the 
country. A potentially stronger system moves in around the end of 
the forecast period, under a stronger shortwave trough. Though we 
are a ways out for specifics on next week's precipitation,
something we can be the most assured of are much warmer 
temperatures. The forecast period may round out with mid to 
possibly, upper 70s for the valley. This would be in the 
neighborhood of 15 to 20 degrees above normal for early March.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 606 AM EST Fri Feb 27 2026

Predominant VFR conditions are expected today. TRI has MVFR cigs
this morning, which should lift and clear out by noon as drier air
moves in and mixes through the boundary layer. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             68  43  72  45 /   0   0   0   0 
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  63  39  68  44 /   0   0   0   0 
Oak Ridge, TN                       64  39  68  43 /   0   0   0   0 
Tri Cities Airport, TN              60  37  63  40 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KS
AVIATION...DGS


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