806 
FXUS64 KMRX 272329
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
629 PM EST Fri Feb 27 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 626 PM EST Fri Feb 27 2026

- Dry and mild conditions through the weekend.

- Rain chances return the first of the week, with slight chances
  persisting thereafter.  

- Warming trend through the period with high temps 15 to 20
  degrees above normal by the end of the period. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 128 PM EST Fri Feb 27 2026

Not much to talk about over the next 7 days. Dry and mild conditions 
are expected through the weekend. A dry cold front is expected to 
come through on Sunday, NBM currently has no POPs, but we will 
see an increase in clouds. Temps on Monday will be slightly cooler
behind the front, but still mild, and rain chances begin to 
increase as a weak disturbance moves through zonal flow and across
our area. Slight chance to chance POPs hang around through 
Tuesday as this disturbance slowly pushes east. The higher POPs 
are north of I-40 with lesser POPs south of I-40.

Wednesday through Friday, temperatures ramp up as ridging 
strengthens across the southeast. High temps will generally be in 
the 70s with the southern TN Valley possibly hitting 80 degrees by
Friday. NBM keeps some POPs in place during this time to account 
for a potential system coming through during this timeframe. 

Overall, no hazardous weather is expected at this point in time. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 626 PM EST Fri Feb 27 2026

Guidance still indicates patchy fog is likely in the valley
tonight under mainly clear skies and light winds. Added a TEMPO to
KTYS to mirror the fog potential with still low confidence at KCHA
for fog potential. Otherwise light winds and little clouds next 24
hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             43  71  45  73 /   0   0   0   0 
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  38  67  45  68 /   0   0   0   0 
Oak Ridge, TN                       39  68  44  68 /   0   0   0   0 
Tri Cities Airport, TN              35  64  40  63 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...Wellington


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