TORNADO ON GROUND NEAR KICKAPOO NATION HEADING NE TOWARDS ROSSVILLE AND
CHANDLER, OK

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN

ACUS11 KWNS 102353
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102353 
OKZ000-110300-

Mesoscale Discussion 0195
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0653 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

Areas affected...much of central Oklahoma

Concerning...Tornado Watch 33...

Valid 102353Z - 110300Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 33 continues.

SUMMARY...The environment is becoming more favorable for tornadoes
along and east of I-35 in Oklahoma, along with damaging hail threat.

DISCUSSION...A supercell is currently moving across eastern Canadian
into Oklahoma County, with another supercell currently over Cotton
moving into Stephens County. Given the discrete nature of these
cells, they will likely continue to pose a destructive hail and
tornado threat for several hours and they approach and move across
the I-35 corridor.

The latest TLX VWP is showing a gradual increase in low-level shear,
with 0-1 SRH now over 150 m2/s2. The OK Mesonet shows more robust
dewpoints generally along and south of a line from CHK to SNL with
65 to 67 F.

As such, over the next few hours, the low-level shear and
environment in general should continue to favor supercells with both
tornado and large hail risk, as these cells move across I-35. A
potentially even greater tornado risk could develop in the 00-03Z
time frame as the low-level jet increases.

..Jewell.. 03/10/2026

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

LAT...LON   34149850 35919809 36299708 36089666 35579651 35019646
            34709657 34369709 34149850 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN

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