MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

ACUS11 KWNS 121250
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121250 
SCZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-121415-

Mesoscale Discussion 0231
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0750 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

Areas affected...Eastern GA into parts of SC and north FL

Concerning...Tornado Watch 50...

Valid 121250Z - 121415Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 50 continues.

SUMMARY...The wind-damage and brief tornado threat may continue
eastward through the morning.

DISCUSSION...Some decrease in convective vigor has been noted with
the long-lived QLCS moving across parts of east GA and FL Panhandle.
However, low-level rotation continues to occasionally be noted along
portions of the line, especially across parts of
east-central/southeast GA, where an evolution to more of a
semi-discrete mode has occurred. Modest downstream destabilization
and ascent attendant to an approaching mid/upper-level shortwave
trough may help to sustain organized convection through the morning,
with some wind-damage and brief-tornado threat spreading into parts
of SC and southeast GA. 

Lightning activity has diminished with the southern portion of the
line approaching north FL, but strong low-level flow may continue to
support at least a localized damaging-wind threat through the
morning. Parts of north FL will be monitored for an uptick in
convective intensity later today, due to potential for somewhat
stronger diurnal destabilization in this area.

..Dean.. 03/12/2026

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON   31008300 32148218 33218250 34158217 34648181 34918155
            34978097 34988070 34718042 34208035 33158061 31868113
            30978156 30318181 29918236 29858281 29808330 29988375
            30188368 30738320 31008300 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

$$
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