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Message   Mike Powell    All   DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective   February 11, 2026
 9:48 AM *  

ACUS01 KWNS 111246
SWODY1
SPC AC 111244

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0644 AM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Valid 111300Z - 121200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected.

...CA/Great Basin...
A stationary mid-level low near San Francisco Bay will maintain
cyclonic flow from the eastern Pacific through CA and into the Great
Basin.  The associated mid-level cold pocket (-24 to -26 deg C) will
combine with limited diurnal heating to contribute to pockets of
weak, intermittent destabilization.  Low-topped convection may yield
some lightning flashes with the stronger updrafts.  However, overall
weak and fleeting buoyancy will limit storm vigor and preclude a
severe risk.

Elsewhere, a cold front will continue pushing southeast across the
Southeast states and reach the Carolina coast later today.
West-to-east moving showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms are
possible this afternoon before ceasing by this evening.

..Smith/Moore.. 02/11/2026

$$
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