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Message   Mike Powell    All   DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective   March 24, 2026
 8:53 AM *  

ACUS01 KWNS 241202
SWODY1
SPC AC 241200

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0700 AM CDT Tue Mar 24 2026

Valid 241300Z - 251200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible today across parts of
north/central Florida and late tonight over portions of coastal
Washington, but organized severe thunderstorms are not expected.

...Synopsis and Discussion...

Surface high pressure will remain entrenched over the eastern CONUS
today, with low-level moisture sufficient to support thunderstorms
confined to parts of the FL Peninsula along/south of a front.
Large-scale ascent will remain weak across this region through the
afternoon, with multiple small-scale perturbations embedded within
mean upper troughing across the eastern states remaining displaced
to the north of FL. Even so, isolated thunderstorms may develop this
afternoon across parts of north/central FL, with some preference for
initiation along the Atlantic Coast sea breeze. Weak low/mid-level
flow and related modest deep-layer shear are expected to limit the
threat for organized severe convection. Isolated thunderstorms may
also occur late tonight into early Wednesday morning across parts of
coastal WA as strong forcing and cool temperatures aloft associated
with a mid/upper-level jet overspread this region.

..Gleason/Kerr.. 03/24/2026

$$
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